Last week, President Joe Biden called on Congress to lower the price of prescription drugs in the US as part of his Build Back Better agenda.

鈥淥n average, Americans pay two to three times as much as people in other countries for prescription drugs, and one in four Americans who take prescription drugs struggle to afford their medications,鈥 he said in a .

While Biden acknowledged the 鈥済round-breaking, life-saving work鈥 of pharmaceutical companies, he said 鈥渃hange is sorely needed鈥 when it comes to the high cost of prescription medicines.

But what is Biden鈥檚 vision for drug pricing reform, and is it likely to result in more affordable drugs for American patients?

Allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices

Medicare, the US national health insurance programme, is prohibited by law from negotiating for better prescription drug prices.

Under Biden鈥檚 plan, Medicare would be able to negotiate the cost of a subset of expensive drugs that have no competitors, and Medicare negotiators would be provided a framework outlining what constitutes a fair price for each drug.

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The president also said there should be 鈥減owerful incentives鈥 to encourage pharma companies to get on board with reasonable drug prices, but did not elaborate on what these would involve.

色界吧 lobby group PhRMA described Biden鈥檚 plan for reducing patients鈥 out-of-pocket costs as 鈥渕isguided鈥.

鈥淯nfortunately, the policies the president outlined today would undermine access to life-saving medicines and fail to address an insurance system that shifts the cost of treatments onto vulnerable patients,鈥 PhRMA president and CEO Stephen J. Ubl said in a statement.

Making other reforms to lower prices

To curb endless price hikes on prescription drugs, Biden has proposed handing out penalties to companies that raise their prices faster than inflation.

Additionally, he has recommended establishing a 鈥渇irm cap鈥 on the amount that Medicare beneficiaries have to pay for their prescription drugs each year, protecting seniors from unlimited exposure to high medicine prices.

Improving access to generic and biosimilar drugs

Finally, Biden pointed to an made last month that included moves to promote the development and uptake of generics and biosimilars that 鈥済ive patients the same exact clinical benefit but at a fraction of the price鈥.

The idea to lower prices by improving access to more affordable generic and biosimilar drugs isn鈥檛 a new one; former president Donald Trump鈥檚 blueprint for tackling high drug prices, announced in 2018, included a step to approve greater numbers of cheaper biologic products to treat cancer and other diseases.

Will Biden鈥檚 plan lead to lower drug prices?

In his statement, Biden promised the proposed steps would see some of the market鈥檚 priciest drugs fall by tens of thousands of dollars per year in cost 鈥 but how feasible is his plan likely to be?

For Jason Shafrin, senior managing director of FTI Consulting鈥檚 Center for Healthcare Economics and Policy, some of the proposals are more promising than others.

鈥淎llowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices has the potential to lower cost,鈥 he says.聽鈥淚n fact, President Trump proposed allowing Medicare to set prices based on the drug costs paid in other developed countries through a system called reference pricing.

鈥淗owever, a concluded that unless Medicare is willing to drop coverage for certain drugs or incorporate a tiered formulary, Medicare price negotiations would have little impact.鈥

Shafrin also says while Biden鈥檚 plan to penalise companies that increase drug prices may sound like a good idea, it 鈥渞emoves flexibility鈥 when it comes to pricing drugs based on how valuable they are.

鈥淔or instance, some researchers have called for the use of a three-part pricing model whereby drugs with uncertain efficacy 鈥 for example, perhaps due to use of surrogate trial endpoints 鈥 start with a relatively low price,鈥 he explains.聽鈥淚f real-world evidence of subsequent clinical trials show that the drug is in fact very effective, the price would rise.聽Once the drug loses its exclusivity period and generics enter, the price would fall again.

鈥淗owever, these types of creative pricing arrangements linking price to evolving evidence on value would be effectively stymied by the Biden administration鈥檚 proposed price controls.鈥

When it comes to importing prescription medicines from Canada, where they are cheaper, Shafrin says this is not a simple solution to high drug costs; the is too small to meet even a fraction of US demand.

鈥淚f 40% of US prescriptions were filled from Canada, the Canadian drug supply would run out in 118 days,鈥 he says.聽鈥淚n fact, some large US states such as Florida spend more on prescription drugs than all of Canada.聽Moreover, drug companies are likely to respond to drug importation policies by increasing drug prices in Canada.鈥

Finally, Shafrin says, it is unclear how Biden hopes to achieve the accelerated approval of generic drugs.

鈥淚t is not clear if President Biden will be proposing any specific legislation 鈥 perhaps to outlaw so-called 鈥pay for delay鈥 鈥 or if he is asking the judiciary to take a more favourable approach to any litigation regarding the introduction of new generic medicines.

鈥淥n the consumer cost side, an 鈥榦ut-of-pocket maximum鈥 would be welcome news to seniors.聽Most seniors are already familiar with out-of-pocket maximums if they had prior commercial insurance,鈥 Shafrin says.

鈥淲hile Medicare鈥檚 costs will rise if there is an out-of-pocket maximum, patient medication adherence will likely improve, and patient economic burden will certainly ease.鈥